Bayer 04 vs Köln: betting odds 5 Feb 2025

The quarter-final match of the German Cup between Bayer Leverkusen and Cologne will take place on February 5 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen vs. Cologne: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Bayer Leverkusen

The reigning champions of the tournament are making steady progress in the 2024/25 German Cup. After two victories against lower-division teams, Xabi Alonso's side triumphed over Bayern Munich in the previous round (1-0). This win marked their ninth consecutive victory in the national cup, with Bayer keeping a clean sheet in six of those matches.

  • At home, the club has scored at least three goals in 6 of their last 7 German Cup games.
  • Leverkusen opened the scoring in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of Bayer's last 8 home matches in the national cup.

Predicted lineup for Bayer Leverkusen (4-5-1)

Matej Kovar – Piero Hincapie, Edmond Tapsoba, Nordi Mukiele, Jonathan Tah – Alejandro Grimaldo, Granit Xhaka, Robert Andrich, Jeremie Frimpong, Exequiel Palacios – Florian Wirtz.

Cologne

Gerhard Struber's side reached the quarter-finals by defeating Hertha Berlin (1-1, extra time 1-0). Notably, Cologne has suffered just one defeat in regulation time in their last 12 national cup matches (4 wins, 7 draws). The club hasn't achieved significant success in this tournament recently; the last time they reached the quarter-finals was in the 2009/2010 season, and they last advanced beyond this stage in 2002.

  • Cologne's scoring streak in the German Cup stands at 6 matches.
  • Away from home in the national cup, the club has not lost in regulation time in 7 of their last 8 matches (2 wins, 5 draws).
  • The number "2" appeared in the final score in regulation time in 4 of the team's last 5 away matches in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Cologne (3-5-2)

Marvin Schwäbe – Dominique Heintz, Timo Hübers, Julian Paul – Max Finkgräfe, Denis Huseinbašić, Linton Maina, Jan Thielmann, Eric Martel – Tim Lemperle, Linton Maina.

Bayer Leverkusen vs. Cologne: Match Prediction

Last season, the teams met in the Bundesliga, with both matches won by Leverkusen (2-0, 3-0). It's unlikely that Xabi Alonso's side will face any obstacles in defeating Cologne again. I anticipate the hosts will secure another victory in a low-scoring encounter.

At home, Bayer Leverkusen demonstrates solid defensive play: Xabi Alonso's side hasn't conceded more than one goal in their last 8 official matches. In the national cup, Leverkusen has kept a clean sheet in their last five consecutive matches.

Only one team has conceded fewer goals than Cologne in the league. Away in the Second Bundesliga, Gerhard Struber's side has kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 6 matches. However, their attack is modest: Cologne hasn't scored more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 games in Germany's second-tier league. Against a stronger opponent, the club will likely focus on defense, which won't contribute to a goal fest.

My prediction: Total under 3.5 goals

Bayer 04 — Köln betting tips 5 Feb 2025

Since their relegation from the Bundesliga, Köln have remained among the frontrunners in Germany’s second tier. Their trip to face Bayer Leverkusen will be a massive challenge, but with the hosts showing defensive vulnerabilities, an upset is not entirely out of the question.

Bayer Leverkusen have lost some momentum since mid-January. Their 11-match winning streak, which had been running since November, was finally broken, and defensive frailties have started to emerge. Leverkusen conceded three goals across their Bundesliga draws with RB Leipzig (2:2) and Hoffenheim (3:1), allowing a concerning 2.66 xGA in those matches. One of Leverkusen’s key weaknesses is dealing with high-pressing opponents, which has been exposed by their Bundesliga rivals. However, they have strengthened in the winter transfer window, with Emiliano Buendía and Mario Hermoso both making their debuts in the last league match.

Back-to-back wins over Elfsborg (1:0) and Eintracht Braunschweig (2:1) have propelled Köln back to the top of the 2. Bundesliga. They boast the third-best goal difference in the league (+10) and have been solid away from home, collecting 20 points from 10 matches on the road. In the DFB-Pokal, Köln have shown their attacking intent, registering 27 shots over two matches against Holstein Kiel (3:0) and Hertha Berlin (2:1 after extra time). They won both games by taking control of possession and dictating the tempo.

Bayer Leverkusen have already beaten Köln twice this season in the Bundesliga (3:0 and 2:0), but local derbies don’t always go their way—they have lost twice in this fixture since March 2022. Given Leverkusen’s recent defensive lapses and Köln’s attacking approach, this match could turn into an open, high-scoring contest.

Betting prediction
Total Over 3
Cf
Odds
71/100
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Bayer 04 vs Köln Odds

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Current season

Logo Bayer Leverkusen Logo FC Cologne
1.67 GF per game 2.67
0 GA per game 1
4 Corners per game 8.67
1.67 Yellow cards per game 4

DFB-Pokal: previous matches in the tournament

Bayer 04
03.12.24
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04
W
29.10.24
Bayer 04
SV 07 Elversberg
W
28.08.24
Carl Zeiss Jena
Bayer 04
W
More matches
Köln
04.12.24
Köln
Hertha
1
:
1
1
:
0
OT
D
29.10.24
Köln
Holstein Kiel
W
18.08.24
Sandhausen
Köln
2
:
2
0
:
1
OT
D
More matches

H2H: Bayer 04 — Köln

Bundesliga 2023-2024
03.03.24
Köln
Bayer 04
08.10.23
Bayer 04
Köln
Bundesliga 2022-2023
05.05.23
Bayer 04
Köln
09.11.22
Köln
Bayer 04
Bundesliga 2021-2022
13.03.22
Bayer 04
Köln
24.10.21
Köln
Bayer 04
Bundesliga 2020-2021
17.04.21
Bayer 04
Köln
16.12.20
Köln
Bayer 04
Bundesliga 2019-2020
17.06.20
Bayer 04
Köln
14.12.19
Köln
Bayer 04
Bundesliga 2017-2018
18.03.18
Köln
Bayer 04
28.10.17
Bayer 04
Köln
Bundesliga 2016-2017
13.05.17
Bayer 04
Köln
21.12.16
Köln
Bayer 04
Bundesliga 2015-2016
10.04.16
Köln
Bayer 04
07.11.15
Bayer 04
Köln
Bundesliga 2014-2015
25.04.15
Köln
Bayer 04
29.11.14
Bayer 04
Köln
Bundesliga 2011-2012
24.12.12
Köln
Bayer 04
0
:
2
16.09.11
Bayer 04
Köln
1
:
4
Bundesliga 2010-2011
29.04.11
Köln
Bayer 04
2
:
0
04.12.10
Bayer 04
Köln
3
:
2
Bundesliga 2009-2010
26.02.10
Bayer 04
Köln
0
:
0
25.09.09
Köln
Bayer 04
0
:
1
Bundesliga 2008-2009
04.04.09
Köln
Bayer 04
0
:
2
23.10.08
Bayer 04
Köln
2
:
0
Bundesliga 2005-2006
24.02.06
Köln
Bayer 04
0
:
3
20.09.05
Bayer 04
Köln
2
:
1
More matches

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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